AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 1

Manitoba Moose at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Manitoba Moose
0:6
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

MBCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
56%44%
xG
2.62.9
High danger
63
Chances
87
Shots
2534

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal34
8Scoring chances7
6High-danger chances3
2.56Expected goals2.90

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–134–24–11.0–1.2
2nd9–123–22–10.9–0.9
3rd10–91–30–10.6–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MB−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MB50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Domenic DiVincentiis
Shots faced
21
Saves
18
Allowed
3
xGA
1.71
GSAx
-1.29
Spencer Martin
Shots faced
19
Saves
19
Allowed
0
xGA
2.20
GSAx
+2.20
Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
13
Saves
10
Allowed
3
xGA
1.19
GSAx
-1.81
Ruslan Khazheyev
Shots faced
6
Saves
6
Allowed
0
xGA
0.37
GSAx
+0.37

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:21Penalty
  • 1st 6:44Bradly Nadeau (0–1)low · 19 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 1st 12:37Bradly Nadeau (0–2)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 1st 15:28Sahil Panwar (0–3)low · 38 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 1st 15:45Penalty
  • 1st 15:45Penalty
  • 2nd 0:45Austin Wagner (0–4)low · 26 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 2nd 3:58Noel Gunler (0–5)low · 37 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 2nd 9:29Penalty
  • 2nd 9:29Penalty
  • 2nd 9:55Penalty
  • 3rd 3:06Sahil Panwar (0–6)medium · 23 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 11:32Penalty
  • 3rd 14:38Penalty