AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 1

Milwaukee Admirals at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Milwaukee Admirals
4:5
Final / SO
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

MILRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
56%44%
xG
2.51.9
High danger
23
Chances
66
Shots
2828

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal28
6Scoring chances6
2High-danger chances3
2.46Expected goals1.95

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–111–30–20.4–0.8
2nd12–83–02–01.3–0.3
3rd5–82–30–10.4–0.7
OT5–10–00–00.3–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Mitchell Weeks
Shots faced
28
Saves
24
Allowed
4
xGA
2.46
GSAx
-1.54
Ethan Haider
Shots faced
23
Saves
22
Allowed
1
xGA
1.29
GSAx
+0.29
Magnus Chrona
Shots faced
5
Saves
2
Allowed
3
xGA
0.66
GSAx
-2.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:47Ryder Rolston (1–0)medium · 26 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 1st 5:21Penalty
  • 1st 8:37Penalty
  • 1st 10:48Cavan Fitzgerald (1–1)low · 50 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 12:20Brett Seney (1–2)medium · 21 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 12:30Penalty
  • 1st 12:30Penalty
  • 1st 12:30Penalty
  • 1st 12:33Andreas Athanasiou (1–3)5v4 · low · 33 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 14:55Penalty
  • 1st 16:14Anders Bjork (2–3)5v4 · low · 42 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 1st 19:15Jake Lucchini (3–3)low · 38 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 2nd 3:49Penalty
  • 2nd 3:49Penalty
  • 2nd 14:16Ondrej Pavel (4–3)low · 40 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 2nd 15:19Penalty
  • 3rd 0:41Samuel Savoie (4–4)medium · 12 ft · beat Ethan Haider
  • 3rd 3:51Penalty
  • 3rd 7:12Penalty
  • 3rd 13:56Penalty
  • 3rd 15:16Penalty