AHLDashboard
Saturday, February 1

Toronto Marlies at Bakersfield Condors

Mechanics Bank Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Toronto Marlies
2:3
Final / SO
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

TORBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
39%61%
xG
2.63.2
High danger
34
Chances
78
Shots
3235

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal35
7Scoring chances8
3High-danger chances4
2.63Expected goals3.22

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8833110.71.0
2nd111513120.81.4
3rd91032110.80.7
OT4200000.30.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
33
Allowed
2
xGA
3.22
GSAx
+1.22
Shots faced
32
Saves
30
Allowed
2
xGA
2.63
GSAx
+0.63

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:45Penalty
  • 1st 8:14Penalty
  • 2nd 4:40Derek Ryan (0–1)low · wrist · 22 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 13:18Seth Griffith (0–2)low · wrist · 33 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 16:25Penalty
  • 3rd 4:00Penalty
  • 3rd 4:00Penalty
  • 3rd 6:46Cédric Paré (1–2)low · wrist · 10 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 3rd 7:05Penalty
  • 3rd 7:18Alex Steeves (2–2)5v4 · medium · snap · 30 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue