AHLDashboard
Friday, February 7

Springfield Thunderbirds at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Springfield Thunderbirds
2:3
Final / SO
Providence Bruins

The sheet

SPRPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
32%68%
xG
3.44.6
High danger
79
Chances
1521
Shots
2744

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal44
15Scoring chances21
7High-danger chances9
3.37Expected goals4.57

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st31026110.41.1
2nd121468251.21.6
3rd81766331.31.5
OT4311100.40.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
44
Saves
42
Allowed
2
xGA
4.57
GSAx
+2.57
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
3.37
GSAx
+1.37

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:54Penalty
  • 2nd 4:12Tyler Pitlick (0–1)high · 6 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 15:31Matthew Kessel (1–1)low · 65 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 7:00Hugh McGing (2–1)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 11:36Penalty
  • 3rd 14:03Penalty
  • 3rd 16:05Max Jones (2–2)low · 32 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 18:14Penalty
  • OT 3:54Penalty