AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 7

Grand Rapids Griffins at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Grand Rapids Griffins
0:3
Final
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

GRMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
2.82.4
High danger
14
Chances
1111
Shots
3522

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal22
11Scoring chances11
1High-danger chances4
2.85Expected goals2.40

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–71–20–00.6–0.4
2nd20–127–70–21.7–1.5
3rd7–33–21–20.6–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Matthew Murray
Shots faced
35
Saves
35
Allowed
0
xGA
2.85
GSAx
+2.85
Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
22
Saves
19
Allowed
3
xGA
2.40
GSAx
-0.60

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:30Penalty
  • 1st 6:11Penalty
  • 1st 10:49Penalty
  • 1st 19:55Penalty
  • 2nd 1:25Penalty
  • 2nd 5:25Penalty
  • 2nd 5:25Penalty
  • 2nd 5:25Penalty
  • 2nd 5:25Penalty
  • 2nd 6:16Ozzy Wiesblatt (0–1)medium · 14 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 7:12Penalty
  • 2nd 8:39Chase De Leo (0–2)5v4 · high · 18 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 8:53Penalty
  • 2nd 14:10Penalty
  • 2nd 19:37Penalty
  • 3rd 13:42Ryder Rolston (0–3)high · 19 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa