AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 7

Abbotsford Canucks at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Abbotsford Canucks
5:4
Final / OT
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

ABBCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
64%36%
xG
3.92.8
High danger
44
Chances
1910
Shots
3529

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal29
19Scoring chances10
4High-danger chances4
3.92Expected goals2.84

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st18–98–32–12.0–0.8
2nd10–96–31–11.1–0.8
3rd4–74–31–20.6–1.0
OT3–41–10–00.2–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL116:56 of the 3rd3:042:14+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Adam Scheel
Shots faced
35
Saves
30
Allowed
5
xGA
3.92
GSAx
-1.08
Artūrs Šilovs
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
2.84
GSAx
-1.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:17Cole McWard (1–0)low · 18 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 1st 10:27Matthew Phillips (1–1)high · 12 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 1st 14:25Penalty
  • 1st 14:53Max Sasson (2–1)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 2nd 5:21Penalty
  • 2nd 10:41Wyatt Aamodt (2–2)low · 68 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 2nd 12:52Arshdeep Bains (3–2)high · 6 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 2nd 16:00Cooper Walker (4–2)low · 65 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 2nd 18:52Penalty
  • 2nd 19:49Jere Innala (4–3)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 3rd 15:45Penalty
  • 3rd 19:10Matthew Phillips (4–4)grade A · 9 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • OT 4:20Arshdeep Bains (5–4)medium · 7 ft · beat Adam Scheel