AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 7

Calgary Wranglers at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Calgary Wranglers
2:5
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

CGYHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
19%81%
xG
2.44.3
High danger
37
Chances
1020
Shots
2644

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal44
10Scoring chances20
3High-danger chances7
2.36Expected goals4.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–163–71–20.7–1.4
2nd12–174–92–41.0–1.9
3rd7–113–40–10.7–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devin Cooley
Shots faced
44
Saves
39
Allowed
5
xGA
4.30
GSAx
-0.70
Carl Lindbom
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.36
GSAx
+0.36

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:22Rory Kerins (1–0)low · wrist · 30 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 1st 9:49Penalty
  • 1st 11:29Mitch McLain (1–1)5v4 · high · wrist · 10 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 11:10Penalty
  • 2nd 15:38Cal Burke (1–2)high · tip · 6 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 18:36Penalty
  • 2nd 19:48Penalty
  • 3rd 1:18Martin Frk (2–2)5v4 · medium · wrist · 33 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 8:52Penalty
  • 3rd 11:08Penalty
  • 3rd 13:16Mitch McLain (2–3)high · tip · 8 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 18:26Mitch McLain (2–4)empty net · low · wrist · 76 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 19:59Mason Morelli (2–5)medium · wrist · 16 ft · beat Devin Cooley