AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 7

Tucson Roadrunners at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Tucson Roadrunners
4:3
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

TUCSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
67%33%
xG
3.12.5
High danger
82
Chances
108
Shots
3429

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineTUC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal29
10Scoring chances8
8High-danger chances2
3.13Expected goals2.48

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–74–23–01.3–0.5
2nd14–73–22–11.0–0.7
3rd7–153–43–10.8–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Yaroslav Askarov
Shots faced
34
Saves
30
Allowed
4
xGA
3.13
GSAx
-0.87
Jaxson Stauber
Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
2.48
GSAx
-0.52

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:08Penalty
  • 1st 2:47Penalty
  • 1st 8:51Penalty
  • 1st 8:51Penalty
  • 1st 15:20Penalty
  • 1st 18:51Penalty
  • 1st 18:51Penalty
  • 2nd 1:55Thomas Bordeleau (0–1)low · 15 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 5:34Penalty
  • 2nd 5:34Penalty
  • 2nd 6:18Penalty
  • 2nd 7:55Pavol Regenda (0–2)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 16:28Penalty
  • 2nd 16:28Penalty
  • 2nd 16:28Penalty
  • 2nd 17:09Robbie Russo (1–2)5v4 · medium · 45 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 17:20Penalty
  • 2nd 17:39Sammy Walker (2–2)5v4 · high · 7 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 0:16Austin Poganski (3–2)high · 19 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 3:42Brandon Coe (3–3)high · 6 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 3rd 6:50Penalty
  • 3rd 9:07Sammy Walker (4–3)high · 8 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 11:47Penalty
  • 3rd 16:37Penalty
  • 3rd 16:37Penalty