AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 8

Charlotte Checkers at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Charlotte Checkers
1:5
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

CLTBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
60%40%
xG
2.82.3
High danger
55
Chances
118
Shots
2924

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal24
11Scoring chances8
5High-danger chances5
2.77Expected goals2.35

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–85–12–00.8–0.5
2nd7–82–41–40.7–1.3
3rd16–84–32–11.3–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Hunter Miska
Shots faced
29
Saves
28
Allowed
1
xGA
2.77
GSAx
+1.77
Chris Driedger
Shots faced
24
Saves
19
Allowed
5
xGA
2.35
GSAx
-2.65

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:02Penalty
  • 1st 7:35Penalty
  • 1st 18:50Kyle Criscuolo (1–0)medium · 15 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 2:19Matthew Maggio (1–1)high · rebound · 24 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 2nd 6:30Penalty
  • 2nd 10:31Liam Foudy (1–2)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 2nd 11:03Cam Thiesing (1–3)high · 14 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 2nd 17:27Penalty
  • 3rd 8:51Penalty
  • 3rd 8:51Penalty
  • 3rd 8:51Penalty
  • 3rd 14:39Tyce Thompson (1–4)low · 50 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 15:18Penalty
  • 3rd 15:18Penalty
  • 3rd 15:18Penalty
  • 3rd 15:21Samuel Bolduc (1–5)5v4 · medium · 48 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 15:44Penalty
  • 3rd 15:44Penalty
  • 3rd 15:44Penalty
  • 3rd 15:44Penalty
  • 3rd 18:08Penalty