AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 8

Grand Rapids Griffins at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Grand Rapids Griffins
3:4
Final
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

GRMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
70%30%
xG
2.82.1
High danger
64
Chances
129
Shots
2620

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal20
12Scoring chances9
6High-danger chances4
2.82Expected goals2.10

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–67–34–11.4–0.8
2nd6–73–31–10.7–0.6
3rd9–72–31–20.7–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR212:09 of the 3rd7:516:58+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Magnus Chrona
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
2.82
GSAx
-0.18
Ville Husso
Shots faced
20
Saves
16
Allowed
4
xGA
2.10
GSAx
-1.90

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:14Penalty
  • 1st 3:16Penalty
  • 1st 4:17Penalty
  • 1st 7:27Gabriel Seger (1–0)high · rebound · 14 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 11:15Carter Mazur (2–0)medium · 23 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 14:31Penalty
  • 1st 15:43Anders Bjork (2–1)5v4 · medium · 31 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 1st 19:02Penalty
  • 1st 19:02Penalty
  • 1st 19:02Penalty
  • 2nd 7:44Penalty
  • 2nd 12:16Penalty
  • 2nd 14:00Ondrej Pavel (2–2)5v4 · high · 21 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 6:27Penalty
  • 3rd 6:27Penalty
  • 3rd 8:29Ryan Ufko (2–3)low · 37 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 10:49Penalty
  • 3rd 11:13Jake Lucchini (2–4)5v4 · high · 23 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 16:03Joe Snively (3–4)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Magnus Chrona