AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 8

Hartford Wolf Pack at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Hartford Wolf Pack
4:2
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

HFDLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
2.33.1
High danger
35
Chances
58
Shots
3233

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal33
5Scoring chances8
3High-danger chances5
2.30Expected goals3.05

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–131–51–20.4–1.3
2nd16–153–22–21.4–1.2
3rd10–51–10–10.5–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Louis Domingue
Shots faced
33
Saves
31
Allowed
2
xGA
3.05
GSAx
+1.05
Keith Petruzzelli
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
2.30
GSAx
-1.70

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:49Alexis Gendron (0–1)low · wrist · 37 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 19:51Penalty
  • 2nd 1:31Benoit-Olivier Groulx (1–1)4v5 · low · 44 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli
  • 2nd 4:13Oscar Eklind (1–2)high · 20 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 5:41Anton Blidh (2–2)grade A · rebound · 19 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli
  • 2nd 8:04Penalty
  • 2nd 11:00Penalty
  • 2nd 15:07Brett Berard (3–2)low · 46 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli
  • 2nd 16:05Penalty
  • 2nd 16:05Penalty
  • 2nd 19:13Penalty
  • 3rd 4:59Penalty
  • 3rd 19:43Anton Blidh (4–2)empty net · low · 17 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli