Calgary Wranglers at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Calgary Wranglers

1:2

Final / SO

Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

CGYHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

71%29%

xG: 1.61.2
High danger: 41
Chances: 54
Shots: 2418

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

HSK above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal18

5Scoring chances4

4High-danger chances1

1.63Expected goals1.18

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–7	2–2	2–1	0.6–0.5
2nd	9–3	3–1	2–0	0.8–0.2
3rd	7–7	0–1	0–0	0.2–0.4
OT	0–1	0–0	0–0	0.0–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Carl Lindbom

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 23
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.63
GSAx: +0.63

Devin Cooley

Shots faced: 18
Saves: 17
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.18
GSAx: +0.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:02Sam Honzek (1–0)low · wrist · 27 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
1st 6:18Mason Morelli (1–1)medium · tip · 8 ft · beat Devin Cooley
1st 8:38Penalty
1st 16:18Penalty
2nd 9:24Penalty
2nd 13:47Penalty
3rd 18:07Penalty