AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, February 9

Iowa Wild at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Iowa Wild
2:7
Final
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

IAMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
12%88%
xG
1.94.1
High danger
09
Chances
1015
Shots
2536

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal36
10Scoring chances15
0High-danger chances9
1.91Expected goals4.08

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–185–60–30.8–1.7
2nd9–123–60–50.6–1.8
3rd9–62–30–10.6–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

IA−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
IA50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Samuel Hlavaj
Shots faced
30
Saves
23
Allowed
7
xGA
3.48
GSAx
-3.52
Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
1.91
GSAx
-0.09
Dylan Ferguson
Shots faced
6
Saves
6
Allowed
0
xGA
0.60
GSAx
+0.60

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:11Penalty
  • 1st 4:31Dylan Coghlan (0–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 1st 4:48Hunter Haight (1–1)medium · 11 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 1st 5:35Penalty
  • 1st 5:35Penalty
  • 1st 5:35Penalty
  • 1st 5:35Penalty
  • 1st 14:36Penalty
  • 1st 15:56Penalty
  • 1st 16:02Dylan Coghlan (1–2)low · rebound · 46 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 1st 17:45Parker Ford (1–3)5v4 · medium · 32 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 2nd 4:11Travis Boyd (2–3)medium · 22 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 10:40Axel Jonsson-Fjällby (2–4)high · 22 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 2nd 12:57Axel Jonsson-Fjällby (2–5)high · 9 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 2nd 17:05Mason Shaw (2–6)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 2nd 19:17Parker Ford (2–7)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 2nd 19:56Penalty
  • 2nd 19:56Penalty
  • 2nd 19:56Penalty