AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, February 11

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
4:5
Final
Hershey Bears

The sheet

WBSHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.53.3
High danger
28
Chances
513
Shots
2930

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal30
5Scoring chances13
2High-danger chances8
2.45Expected goals3.26

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–152–71–31.0–1.6
2nd6–71–31–20.5–0.8
3rd12–82–30–30.9–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Joel Blomqvist
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
3.26
GSAx
-1.74
Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
2.45
GSAx
-1.55

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:40Andrew Perrott (0–1)high · rebound · 34 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 1st 7:30Emil Bemström (1–1)low · 35 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 9:32Hendrix Lapierre (1–2)high · 6 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 1st 11:14Ethan Bear (1–3)low · 36 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 16:23Penalty
  • 1st 17:17Valtteri Puustinen (2–3)5v4 · medium · 21 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 1:47Penalty
  • 2nd 3:23Mike Vecchione (2–4)5v4 · high · 19 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 9:08Penalty
  • 2nd 18:37Penalty
  • 2nd 18:37Penalty
  • 3rd 4:04Avery Hayes (3–4)low · 35 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 3rd 6:58Penalty
  • 3rd 18:00Spencer Smallman (3–5)empty net · high · 15 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 19:07Mac Hollowell (4–5)low · 46 ft · beat Hunter Shepard