AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, February 11

Rochester Americans at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Rochester Americans
5:1
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

ROCCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
88%12%
xG
4.21.7
High danger
51
Chances
226
Shots
3722

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal22
22Scoring chances6
5High-danger chances1
4.18Expected goals1.69

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st16–911–21–02.0–0.6
2nd12–106–32–11.2–0.8
3rd9–35–12–01.0–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE36:51 of the 3rd13:0913:09+0.019 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves
Shots faced
37
Saves
32
Allowed
5
xGA
4.18
GSAx
-0.82
Devon Levi
Shots faced
22
Saves
21
Allowed
1
xGA
1.69
GSAx
+0.69

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:02Penalty
  • 1st 11:29Trey Fix-Wolansky (0–1)low · 37 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 13:53Penalty
  • 1st 16:39Nicolas Aubé-Kubel (1–1)high · 14 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 17:32Brett Murray (2–1)medium · 14 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 18:34Penalty
  • 2nd 1:00Penalty
  • 2nd 3:48Nicolas Aubé-Kubel (3–1)high · 16 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 9:16Penalty
  • 2nd 15:04Penalty
  • 2nd 19:33Penalty
  • 2nd 19:33Penalty
  • 3rd 3:40Penalty
  • 3rd 4:59Penalty
  • 3rd 6:51Tyson Kozak (4–1)4v5 · high · tip · 8 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 8:44Penalty
  • 3rd 16:13Isak Rosén (5–1)empty net · low · 72 ft · beat Jet Greaves