AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, February 11

San Jose Barracuda at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

San Jose Barracuda
3:6
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

SJCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
37%63%
xG
2.74.2
High danger
58
Chances
1314
Shots
2439

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal39
13Scoring chances14
5High-danger chances8
2.73Expected goals4.19

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–154–41–20.7–1.4
2nd9–156–83–41.3–1.9
3rd8–93–21–20.8–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ117:00 of the 3rd3:003:00+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Yaroslav Askarov
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
3.15
GSAx
-0.85
Kevin Mandolese
Shots faced
24
Saves
21
Allowed
3
xGA
2.73
GSAx
-0.27
Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
12
Saves
10
Allowed
2
xGA
1.04
GSAx
-0.96

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:12Penalty
  • 1st 2:17Pavol Regenda (1–0)5v4 · medium · 16 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 1st 4:12Penalty
  • 1st 5:06Jacob MacDonald (1–1)5v4 · low · 39 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 9:28Penalty
  • 1st 12:22Jacob MacDonald (1–2)low · 53 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 16:03Penalty
  • 2nd 5:40Penalty
  • 2nd 8:00Penalty
  • 2nd 8:19Danil Gushchin (2–2)5v4 · low · 62 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 2nd 11:06Penalty
  • 2nd 11:06Penalty
  • 2nd 11:15Penalty
  • 2nd 13:34Nikita Prishchepov (2–3)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 4:27Thomas Bordeleau (3–3)low · 26 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 3rd 17:00T.J. Tynan (3–4)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 18:59Oskar Olausson (3–5)empty net · low · 70 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 19:32Jacob MacDonald (3–6)empty net · low · 103 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov