AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, February 12

Bridgeport Islanders at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Bridgeport Islanders
3:4
Final / OT
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

BRIHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
4.24.1
High danger
66
Chances
1217
Shots
3843

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal43
12Scoring chances17
6High-danger chances6
4.24Expected goals4.11

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–58–36–12.6–0.6
2nd12–112–40–10.8–0.9
3rd7–252–90–30.5–2.3
OT5–20–10–10.3–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD212:09 of the 3rd7:512:00+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Henrik Tikkanen
Shots faced
43
Saves
39
Allowed
4
xGA
4.11
GSAx
+0.11
Dylan Garand
Shots faced
38
Saves
35
Allowed
3
xGA
4.24
GSAx
+1.24

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:54Penalty
  • 1st 11:17Matthew Maggio (1–0)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 18:22Riley Piercey (2–0)high · 12 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 2:05Erik Brännström (2–1)medium · 23 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 9:36Penalty
  • 2nd 9:36Penalty
  • 2nd 18:49Chris Terry (3–1)low · 34 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 19:56Penalty
  • 3rd 12:34Connor Mackey (3–2)low · 29 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 18:31Brennan Othmann (3–3)high · rebound · 19 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • OT 4:18Brennan Othmann (3–4)high · 26 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen