AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, February 12

San Jose Barracuda at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

San Jose Barracuda
2:5
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

SJCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
34%66%
xG
2.43.1
High danger
35
Chances
1113
Shots
2728

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal28
11Scoring chances13
3High-danger chances5
2.37Expected goals3.09

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–152–72–20.5–1.6
2nd11–87–41–11.2–0.9
3rd11–52–20–20.7–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ310:52 of the 3rd9:089:08+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Yaroslav Askarov
Shots faced
28
Saves
23
Allowed
5
xGA
3.09
GSAx
-1.91
Trent Miner
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
2.37
GSAx
+0.37

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:22Penalty
  • 1st 5:08Jere Innala (0–1)5v4 · medium · 24 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 1st 16:21Penalty
  • 1st 16:21Penalty
  • 1st 19:13Chris Wagner (0–2)5v4 · low · 61 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 6:47Colin White (1–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 9:47Jere Innala (1–3)medium · 19 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 10:34Penalty
  • 2nd 10:34Penalty
  • 2nd 11:12Filip Bystedt (2–3)5v4 · high · 32 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 17:16Penalty
  • 2nd 18:29Jere Innala (2–4)5v4 · medium · 29 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 10:52Oskar Olausson (2–5)low · 26 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 18:28Penalty