AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 14

Chicago Wolves at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Chicago Wolves
3:6
Final
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

CHIRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
32%68%
xG
2.63.8
High danger
38
Chances
815
Shots
3328

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal28
8Scoring chances15
3High-danger chances8
2.62Expected goals3.78

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–132–51–10.8–1.3
2nd15–85–51–41.3–1.5
3rd7–71–51–30.6–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI30:00 of the 3rd20:0018:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Mitchell Weeks
Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
2.62
GSAx
-0.38
Spencer Martin
Shots faced
27
Saves
22
Allowed
5
xGA
3.67
GSAx
-1.33

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:28Marcel Marcel (0–1)medium · 8 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 1st 3:20Skyler Brind’Amour (1–1)low · tip · 33 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 1st 4:27Andreas Athanasiou (1–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 1st 12:14Zach Sanford (1–3)medium · 20 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 1st 12:23Penalty
  • 2nd 4:09Penalty
  • 2nd 4:09Penalty
  • 2nd 7:40Penalty
  • 2nd 16:53Jackson Cates (1–4)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 18:43Penalty
  • 3rd 1:02Penalty
  • 3rd 3:56Penalty
  • 3rd 3:56Penalty
  • 3rd 4:23Joey Anderson (1–5)5v4 · high · 31 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 5:55Penalty
  • 3rd 5:55Penalty
  • 3rd 9:31Penalty
  • 3rd 9:36Bradly Nadeau (2–5)5v4 · low · 40 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 3rd 10:09Penalty
  • 3rd 10:09Scott Morrow (3–5)low · 36 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 3rd 11:38Penalty
  • 3rd 13:47Penalty
  • 3rd 13:47Penalty
  • 3rd 17:13Marcel Marcel (3–6)empty net · medium · 23 ft
  • 3rd 17:31Penalty
  • 3rd 19:59Penalty
  • 3rd 19:59Penalty