AHLDashboard
Saturday, February 15

Ontario Reign at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Ontario Reign
4:3
Final / OT
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

ONTCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
72%28%
xG
2.21.7
High danger
52
Chances
107
Shots
1920

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineONT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal20
10Scoring chances7
5High-danger chances2
2.19Expected goals1.66

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5621210.50.4
2nd8854201.10.8
3rd5622110.50.4
OT1010000.10.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
1.65
GSAx
-1.35
Shots faced
19
Saves
15
Allowed
4
xGA
2.19
GSAx
-1.81

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:12Martin Frk (0–1)low · wrist · 33 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 1st 12:28Penalty
  • 1st 12:28Penalty
  • 1st 12:28Penalty
  • 1st 12:28Penalty
  • 1st 12:28Penalty
  • 2nd 2:13Penalty
  • 2nd 3:20David Silye (0–2)4v5 · low · slap · 25 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 2nd 4:28Shawn Element (1–2)medium · wrist · 28 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 4:54Martin Frk (1–3)medium · wrist · 18 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 2nd 7:01Penalty
  • 2nd 8:57Jack Studnicka (2–3)5v4 · high · wrist · 16 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 9:58Penalty
  • 2nd 15:37Penalty
  • 3rd 14:12Charles Hudon (3–3)low · wrist · 27 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • OT 1:29Francesco Pinelli (4–3)medium · wrist · 26 ft · beat Devin Cooley