Grand Rapids Griffins at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

Grand Rapids Griffins

2:3

Final

Iowa Wild

The sheet

GRIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

36%64%

xG: 2.83.8
High danger: 57
Chances: 817
Shots: 3537

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

IA above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal37

8Scoring chances17

5High-danger chances7

2.78Expected goals3.75

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–12	1–5	1–2	0.4–1.1
2nd	8–15	2–9	0–5	0.5–2.0
3rd	20–10	5–3	4–0	1.9–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
GR	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ville Husso

Shots faced: 37
Saves: 34
Allowed: 3
xGA: 3.75
GSAx: +0.75

Jesper Wallstedt

Shots faced: 35
Saves: 33
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.78
GSAx: +0.78

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 14:38Carter Mazur (1–0)high · tip · 5 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
1st 17:56Penalty
2nd 6:58Reese Johnson (1–1)low · 33 ft · beat Ville Husso
2nd 7:31Penalty
2nd 8:14Penalty
2nd 9:04Penalty
2nd 10:53Penalty
2nd 13:21Penalty
2nd 14:02Penalty
2nd 15:12Penalty
2nd 16:48Travis Boyd (1–2)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Ville Husso
3rd 7:12Penalty
3rd 10:48Ryan O’Rourke (1–3)low · 60 ft · beat Ville Husso
3rd 19:22Carter Mazur (2–3)grade A · rebound · 21 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
3rd 19:52Penalty