AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 15

Colorado Eagles at Abbotsford Canucks

Abbotsford Centre · Abbotsford, BC

Colorado Eagles
1:4
Final
Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

COLABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
3.42.7
High danger
57
Chances
1510
Shots
3029

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ABB above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal29
15Scoring chances10
5High-danger chances7
3.37Expected goals2.67

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–137–22–21.5–0.9
2nd10–103–51–30.9–1.0
3rd9–65–32–21.0–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artūrs Šilovs
Shots faced
30
Saves
29
Allowed
1
xGA
3.37
GSAx
+2.37
Kevin Mandolese
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
2.67
GSAx
-1.33

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:18Penalty
  • 1st 7:26Jonathan Lekkerimäki (0–1)high · 11 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 1st 10:58Penalty
  • 1st 14:30Linus Karlsson (0–2)high · 12 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 1st 17:00Penalty
  • 1st 17:43Penalty
  • 2nd 4:34Penalty
  • 2nd 5:56Penalty
  • 2nd 6:33Aatu Räty (0–3)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 2nd 10:04Penalty
  • 3rd 5:03Penalty
  • 3rd 10:20Penalty
  • 3rd 10:20Penalty
  • 3rd 19:08Jere Innala (1–3)medium · 26 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 3rd 19:52Aatu Räty (1–4)empty net · grade A · 8 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty