AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, February 16

Cleveland Monsters at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Cleveland Monsters
3:2
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

CLECHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
47%53%
xG
2.02.3
High danger
54
Chances
88
Shots
2225

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal25
8Scoring chances8
5High-danger chances4
2.00Expected goals2.29

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–74–13–00.9–0.4
2nd10–64–42–11.0–0.7
3rd4–120–30–30.1–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI212:09 of the 3rd7:513:37+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
2.28
GSAx
+0.28
Spencer Martin
Shots faced
22
Saves
19
Allowed
3
xGA
2.00
GSAx
-1.00

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:17Penalty
  • 1st 5:30Penalty
  • 1st 8:44Penalty
  • 1st 16:09Penalty
  • 1st 18:50Penalty
  • 2nd 2:52Penalty
  • 2nd 9:26Penalty
  • 2nd 12:36Penalty
  • 2nd 15:02Josiah Slavin (0–1)medium · 10 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 15:55Penalty
  • 2nd 18:52Trey Fix-Wolansky (1–1)medium · 11 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 19:57Samuel Knazko (2–1)high · rebound · 15 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 1:32Luca Del Bel Belluz (3–1)low · 50 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 12:42Skyler Brind’Amour (3–2)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko