AHLDashboard
‹ Monday, February 17

Laval Rocket at Toronto Marlies

Scotiabank Arena · Toronto, ON

Laval Rocket
2:7
Final
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

LAVTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
13%87%
xG
1.84.3
High danger
19
Chances
419
Shots
2228

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal28
4Scoring chances19
1High-danger chances9
1.82Expected goals4.32

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–111–80–40.4–2.0
2nd13–61–41–11.1–0.8
3rd2–112–70–40.3–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
28
Saves
21
Allowed
7
xGA
4.32
GSAx
-2.68
Dennis Hildeby
Shots faced
22
Saves
20
Allowed
2
xGA
1.82
GSAx
-0.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:32Logan Shaw (0–1)grade A · rebound · 23 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 7:04Penalty
  • 1st 7:40Penalty
  • 1st 8:27Alex Nylander (0–2)5v4 · high · 23 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 10:00Cédric Paré (0–3)medium · 22 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 19:04Penalty
  • 1st 19:04Penalty
  • 2nd 3:30Penalty
  • 2nd 5:14Jared Davidson (1–3)5v4 · low · 52 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 2nd 10:51Joshua Roy (2–3)low · 24 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 2nd 17:38Penalty
  • 3rd 6:58Penalty
  • 3rd 7:55Penalty
  • 3rd 10:44Penalty
  • 3rd 11:42Penalty
  • 3rd 11:56Alex Steeves (2–4)5v4 · grade A · 31 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 16:34Jacob Quillan (2–5)empty net · medium · 27 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 16:53Penalty
  • 3rd 16:53Penalty
  • 3rd 16:53Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Cédric Paré (2–6)empty net · high · 22 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 18:02Penalty
  • 3rd 18:02Penalty
  • 3rd 18:02Penalty
  • 3rd 18:02Penalty
  • 3rd 18:02Penalty
  • 3rd 18:02Penalty
  • 3rd 19:44Nikita Grebenkin (2–7)high · 13 ft · beat Cayden Primeau