AHLDashboard
‹ Monday, February 17

Colorado Eagles at Abbotsford Canucks

Abbotsford Centre · Abbotsford, BC

Colorado Eagles
1:2
Final
Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

COLABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
1.82.0
High danger
22
Chances
55
Shots
2830

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ABB above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal30
5Scoring chances5
2High-danger chances2
1.85Expected goals2.01

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–82–20–10.6–0.6
2nd9–143–22–10.8–0.8
3rd7–80–10–00.4–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL212:09 of the 3rd7:515:55+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Trent Miner
Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
2.01
GSAx
+0.01
Artūrs Šilovs
Shots faced
28
Saves
27
Allowed
1
xGA
1.85
GSAx
+0.85

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:20Ty Mueller (0–1)medium · 27 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 7:34Penalty
  • 2nd 7:34Penalty
  • 2nd 7:34Penalty
  • 2nd 8:46Danila Klimovich (0–2)5v4 · low · 38 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 13:04Penalty
  • 2nd 13:17Penalty
  • 3rd 11:11Penalty
  • 3rd 15:00T.J. Tynan (1–2)low · 12 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty