AHLDashboard
‹ Monday, February 17

Rockford IceHogs at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

Rockford IceHogs
4:2
Final
Iowa Wild

The sheet

RFDIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
52%48%
xG
3.33.2
High danger
64
Chances
108
Shots
2237

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineRFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal37
10Scoring chances8
6High-danger chances4
3.25Expected goals3.16

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–115–13–11.8–0.6
2nd9–112–32–20.8–1.4
3rd6–153–41–10.7–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

IA−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
IA30:00 of the 3rd20:008:23+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Mitchell Weeks
Shots faced
37
Saves
35
Allowed
2
xGA
3.16
GSAx
+1.16
Jesper Wallstedt
Shots faced
22
Saves
18
Allowed
4
xGA
3.25
GSAx
-0.75

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:23Andreas Athanasiou (1–0)grade A · 6 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 1st 4:06Penalty
  • 1st 5:55Samuel Savoie (2–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 1st 8:02Penalty
  • 1st 10:15Penalty
  • 1st 11:25Zach Sanford (3–0)4v5 · grade A · 194 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 1:11Michael Milne (3–1)grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 2nd 9:09Brandon Baddock (4–1)high · 9 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 10:37Penalty
  • 2nd 10:37Penalty
  • 2nd 10:37Penalty
  • 2nd 10:37Penalty
  • 2nd 14:25Penalty
  • 3rd 0:32Travis Boyd (4–2)low · 28 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 3rd 7:39Penalty
  • 3rd 8:11Penalty
  • 3rd 8:54Penalty
  • 3rd 12:07Penalty
  • 3rd 17:30Penalty