AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, February 19

Manitoba Moose at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Manitoba Moose
5:4
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

MBLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
44%56%
xG
2.22.8
High danger
55
Chances
108
Shots
2234

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal34
10Scoring chances8
5High-danger chances5
2.17Expected goals2.78

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–142–41–30.6–1.5
2nd8–75–22–10.9–0.5
3rd7–133–22–10.7–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Domenic DiVincentiis
Shots faced
34
Saves
30
Allowed
4
xGA
2.78
GSAx
-1.22
Connor Hughes
Shots faced
22
Saves
17
Allowed
5
xGA
2.17
GSAx
-2.83

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 12:55Penalty
  • 1st 14:03Dominic Toninato (1–0)5v4 · high · wrist · 13 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 1st 16:15Logan Mailloux (1–1)medium · 10 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 2nd 1:19Ben King (2–1)medium · wrist · 33 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 2nd 2:50Penalty
  • 2nd 2:50Penalty
  • 2nd 5:20Jaret Anderson-Dolan (3–1)medium · 11 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 2nd 7:03Alex Barré-Boulet (3–2)high · 16 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 2nd 8:12Logan Mailloux (3–3)low · 46 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 2nd 17:41Penalty
  • 3rd 1:07C.J. Suess (4–3)medium · 12 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 3rd 2:43Jaret Anderson-Dolan (5–3)high · 15 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 3rd 6:29Penalty
  • 3rd 6:29Penalty
  • 3rd 6:29Penalty
  • 3rd 6:29Penalty
  • 3rd 6:29Penalty
  • 3rd 19:04Noel Hoefenmayer (5–4)medium · 26 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis