AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, February 19

Abbotsford Canucks at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
3:5
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

ABBSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
2.52.0
High danger
53
Chances
117
Shots
2621

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal21
11Scoring chances7
5High-danger chances3
2.48Expected goals2.02

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–54–30–21.0–0.6
2nd7–84–13–00.9–0.5
3rd5–83–32–10.6–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
2.48
GSAx
-0.52
Ty Young
Shots faced
20
Saves
16
Allowed
4
xGA
1.86
GSAx
-2.14

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 15:31Coulson Pitre (0–1)medium · 21 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 1st 16:02Penalty
  • 1st 18:45Penalty
  • 2nd 12:53Penalty
  • 2nd 12:53Penalty
  • 2nd 14:25Samuel Blais (1–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 2:24Coulson Pitre (1–2)low · rebound · 46 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 3rd 4:05Sam Colangelo (1–3)high · 8 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 3rd 6:47Ben Berard (2–3)high · 11 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 10:23Dino Kambeitz (3–3)medium · 27 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 14:07Tristan Luneau (3–4)low · 22 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 3rd 19:14Nikita Nesterenko (3–5)empty net · medium · 13 ft