AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, February 19

Ontario Reign at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Ontario Reign
6:4
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

ONTSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
4.43.7
High danger
106
Chances
1915
Shots
3536

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineONT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal36
19Scoring chances15
10High-danger chances6
4.40Expected goals3.70

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st20–97–31–21.8–1.0
2nd11–98–46–21.6–0.9
3rd4–184–83–21.0–1.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Pheonix Copley
Shots faced
36
Saves
32
Allowed
4
xGA
3.70
GSAx
-0.30
Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
21
Saves
18
Allowed
3
xGA
3.14
GSAx
+0.14
Yaroslav Askarov
Shots faced
14
Saves
11
Allowed
3
xGA
1.26
GSAx
-1.74

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:11Penalty
  • 1st 3:12Martin Chromiak (1–0)5v4 · medium · 43 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 1st 8:05Aatu Jämsen (2–0)low · 29 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 1st 8:31Penalty
  • 1st 9:50Tyler Madden (3–0)5v4 · medium · 29 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 1st 16:19Penalty
  • 1st 18:55Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 0:40Aatu Jämsen (4–0)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 9:29Penalty
  • 2nd 9:50Andrew Poturalski (4–1)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 2nd 11:13Penalty
  • 2nd 13:33Taylor Ward (5–1)high · 8 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 15:20Penalty
  • 2nd 15:34Penalty
  • 2nd 19:09Jeff Malott (6–1)high · 12 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 19:11Penalty
  • 2nd 19:11Penalty
  • 3rd 6:23Danil Gushchin (6–2)high · 9 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 3rd 9:56Penalty
  • 3rd 9:56Penalty
  • 3rd 9:56Penalty
  • 3rd 10:56Tristen Robins (6–3)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 3rd 12:05Penalty
  • 3rd 13:31Luca Cagnoni (6–4)5v4 · medium · 11 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 3rd 16:37Penalty