AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 21

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
4:1
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

WBSHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
47%53%
xG
2.62.7
High danger
34
Chances
127
Shots
2827

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal27
12Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances4
2.56Expected goals2.71

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–67–11–01.4–0.4
2nd5–132–51–30.4–1.6
3rd9–83–11–10.7–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Louis Domingue
Shots faced
28
Saves
24
Allowed
4
xGA
2.56
GSAx
-1.44
Filip Larsson
Shots faced
27
Saves
26
Allowed
1
xGA
2.71
GSAx
+1.71

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:29Rutger McGroarty (1–0)low · 18 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 10:44Penalty
  • 1st 10:44Penalty
  • 1st 12:03Avery Hayes (2–0)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 15:58Boris Katchouk (3–0)medium · 16 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 18:47Penalty
  • 2nd 5:14Penalty
  • 2nd 7:34Maxim Barbashev (3–1)grade A · rebound · 5 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 2nd 9:11Penalty
  • 3rd 2:36Penalty
  • 3rd 5:54Penalty
  • 3rd 19:31Marc Johnstone (4–1)empty net · low · 95 ft · beat Louis Domingue