Manitoba Moose at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Manitoba Moose

1:5

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

MBLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

10%90%

xG: 1.53.6
High danger: 17
Chances: 413
Shots: 2135

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal35

4Scoring chances13

1High-danger chances7

1.50Expected goals3.56

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	6–5	3–1	1–1	0.7–0.3
2nd	8–13	1–4	0–1	0.6–1.1
3rd	7–17	0–8	0–5	0.2–2.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
MB	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Domenic DiVincentiis

Shots faced: 35
Saves: 30
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.56
GSAx: -1.44

Cayden Primeau

Shots faced: 21
Saves: 20
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.50
GSAx: +0.50

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:43Alex Beaucage (0–1)low · wrist · 38 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
1st 3:56Simon Lundmark (1–1)low · wrist · 37 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
1st 6:54Penalty
1st 9:09Penalty
1st 10:21Joshua Roy (1–2)5v4 · high · wrist · 27 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
2nd 8:06Penalty
2nd 8:06Penalty
2nd 9:17Penalty
2nd 11:44Penalty
2nd 16:10Penalty
2nd 16:10Penalty
3rd 0:25Penalty
3rd 11:20Sean Farrell (1–3)medium · wrist · 20 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
3rd 13:10Florian Xhekaj (1–4)high · wrist · 12 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
3rd 17:16Penalty
3rd 17:57Laurent Dauphin (1–5)empty net · low · wrist · 151 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis