AHLDashboard
Saturday, February 22

Toronto Marlies at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Toronto Marlies
0:1
Final / SO
Rochester Americans

The sheet

TORROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
2.82.2
High danger
52
Chances
96
Shots
3034

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal34
9Scoring chances6
5High-danger chances2
2.75Expected goals2.19

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st111232211.10.9
2nd8921110.60.4
3rd81333200.80.8
OT3010000.20.0

Away–home, in that order.

In goal

Shots faced
34
Saves
34
Allowed
0
xGA
2.19
GSAx
+2.19
Shots faced
30
Saves
30
Allowed
0
xGA
2.75
GSAx
+2.75

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:44Penalty
  • 1st 6:40Penalty
  • 1st 13:57Penalty
  • 1st 14:32Penalty
  • 2nd 3:15Penalty
  • 2nd 3:43Penalty
  • 2nd 12:57Penalty
  • 3rd 5:56Penalty
  • 3rd 15:06Penalty
  • 3rd 15:44Penalty