AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 22

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
5:4
Final
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

LVRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
32%68%
xG
2.22.1
High danger
15
Chances
97
Shots
2826

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal26
9Scoring chances7
1High-danger chances5
2.16Expected goals2.13

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–133–10–10.9–0.8
2nd11–34–11–10.9–0.3
3rd5–102–50–30.4–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

RFD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
RFD116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Benjamin Gaudreau
Shots faced
28
Saves
23
Allowed
5
xGA
2.16
GSAx
-2.84
Keith Petruzzelli
Shots faced
26
Saves
22
Allowed
4
xGA
2.12
GSAx
-1.88

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:22Anthony Richard (1–0)medium · 22 ft · beat Benjamin Gaudreau
  • 1st 4:28Penalty
  • 1st 4:47Joey Anderson (1–1)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli
  • 1st 6:39Cavan Fitzgerald (1–2)low · 54 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli
  • 1st 8:18Penalty
  • 1st 8:18Penalty
  • 1st 12:23Hunter McDonald (2–2)medium · 13 ft · beat Benjamin Gaudreau
  • 1st 18:35Anthony Richard (3–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Benjamin Gaudreau
  • 2nd 1:20Penalty
  • 2nd 9:22Jacob Gaucher (4–2)low · 37 ft · beat Benjamin Gaudreau
  • 2nd 11:26Penalty
  • 2nd 13:45Penalty
  • 2nd 19:40Penalty
  • 2nd 19:40Penalty
  • 3rd 2:11Penalty
  • 3rd 4:24Louis Crevier (4–3)low · 63 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli
  • 3rd 7:11Joey Anderson (4–4)high · 12 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli
  • 3rd 12:34J.R. Avon (5–4)medium · rebound · 11 ft · beat Benjamin Gaudreau
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty