AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 22

Colorado Eagles at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Colorado Eagles
6:1
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

COLTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
86%14%
xG
3.31.7
High danger
61
Chances
124
Shots
2724

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal24
12Scoring chances4
6High-danger chances1
3.30Expected goals1.72

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st16–98–24–02.2–0.6
2nd4–91–11–00.4–0.7
3rd7–63–11–10.7–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Trent Miner
Shots faced
24
Saves
23
Allowed
1
xGA
1.72
GSAx
+0.72
Magnus Hellberg
Shots faced
16
Saves
11
Allowed
5
xGA
2.18
GSAx
-2.82
Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
11
Saves
10
Allowed
1
xGA
1.12
GSAx
+0.12

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:29Penalty
  • 1st 0:29Penalty
  • 1st 0:29Penalty
  • 1st 7:50Oskar Olausson (1–0)low · 44 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 1st 9:27Kyle McDonald (1–1)medium · 13 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 10:25Chase Bradley (2–1)low · 41 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 1st 12:39Calle Rosén (3–1)low · 42 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 1st 16:21Penalty
  • 1st 17:12Chris Wagner (4–1)5v4 · high · 7 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 1st 18:15Penalty
  • 1st 18:15Penalty
  • 1st 18:56Jacob MacDonald (5–1)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 1st 19:39Penalty
  • 1st 19:39Penalty
  • 2nd 6:07Chris Wagner (6–1)high · 11 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 17:53Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 1:29Penalty
  • 3rd 5:47Penalty
  • 3rd 5:47Penalty
  • 3rd 15:02Penalty
  • 3rd 15:02Penalty
  • 3rd 17:45Penalty
  • 3rd 17:45Penalty
  • 3rd 17:45Penalty
  • 3rd 17:45Penalty