AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 22

Calgary Wranglers at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Calgary Wranglers
1:4
Final
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

CGYCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
5%95%
xG
0.74.0
High danger
110
Chances
318
Shots
1333

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

13Shots on goal33
3Scoring chances18
1High-danger chances10
0.68Expected goals4.02

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–82–10–10.4–0.6
2nd2–151–91–30.2–1.9
3rd2–100–80–60.0–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY311:36 of the 3rd8:248:24+0.012 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devin Cooley
Shots faced
33
Saves
29
Allowed
4
xGA
4.02
GSAx
+0.02
Nikke Kokko
Shots faced
13
Saves
12
Allowed
1
xGA
0.68
GSAx
-0.32

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:06Penalty
  • 1st 0:06Penalty
  • 1st 0:55Martin Frk (1–0)medium · 31 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 2:11Penalty
  • 1st 11:47Penalty
  • 1st 13:41John Hayden (1–1)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 3:06Penalty
  • 2nd 8:53Penalty
  • 2nd 11:36Penalty
  • 2nd 14:56Lleyton Roed (1–2)medium · 21 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 18:08Penalty
  • 2nd 19:54John Hayden (1–3)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 3:39Penalty
  • 3rd 11:36Ben Meyers (1–4)high · 15 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 13:05Penalty
  • 3rd 13:05Penalty
  • 3rd 13:05Penalty
  • 3rd 13:05Penalty