AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 22

San Diego Gulls at Bakersfield Condors

Mechanics Bank Arena · Bakersfield, CA

San Diego Gulls
5:4
Final / OT
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

SDBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
26%74%
xG
2.13.2
High danger
25
Chances
1012
Shots
2632

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal32
10Scoring chances12
2High-danger chances5
2.13Expected goals3.20

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–104–40–10.7–1.0
2nd7–153–82–40.6–1.8
3rd5–72–00–00.5–0.4
OT4–01–00–00.3–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
3.20
GSAx
-0.80
Olivier Rodrigue
Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
2.13
GSAx
-2.87

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:03Penalty
  • 1st 4:19Penalty
  • 1st 11:26Penalty
  • 1st 18:00James Stefan (0–1)medium · wrist · 24 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 18:59Penalty
  • 1st 18:59Penalty
  • 1st 18:59Penalty
  • 1st 18:59Penalty
  • 1st 18:59Penalty
  • 2nd 1:07Derek Ryan (0–2)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 4:52Justin Bailey (1–2)high · wrist · 17 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 7:16Sasha Pastujov (2–2)medium · 26 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 8:39Penalty
  • 2nd 9:16Ryan Carpenter (3–2)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 9:52Seth Griffith (3–3)low · 32 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 13:02Penalty
  • 2nd 13:49Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 1:58Nikita Nesterenko (4–3)medium · 24 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 3rd 8:19Noah Philp (4–4)low · 35 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 19:46Penalty
  • OT 1:49Ryan Carpenter (5–4)medium · 13 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue