AHLDashboard
Sunday, February 23

Manitoba Moose at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Manitoba Moose
2:1
Final / OT
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

MBTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
70%30%
xG
2.21.3
High danger
21
Chances
43
Shots
2726

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal26
4Scoring chances3
2High-danger chances1
2.19Expected goals1.32

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st71311100.50.5
2nd5711010.40.4
3rd13511000.60.4
OT2110100.70.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
2.19
GSAx
+0.19
Shots faced
26
Saves
25
Allowed
1
xGA
1.32
GSAx
+0.32

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 14:37Penalty
  • 1st 15:57Penalty
  • 2nd 1:23Penalty
  • 2nd 6:34Penalty
  • 2nd 9:03Penalty
  • 3rd 1:37Alex Nylander (0–1)low · tip · 26 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 3rd 6:19Penalty
  • 3rd 13:22Dylan Coghlan (1–1)low · slap · 68 ft · beat Matt Murray
  • 3rd 16:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:09Penalty
  • 3rd 19:09Penalty
  • 3rd 19:09Penalty
  • 3rd 19:09Penalty
  • 3rd 19:28Penalty
  • OT 1:29Dominic Toninato (2–1)5v4 · grade A · wrist · 9 ft · beat Matt Murray