AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, February 23

Calgary Wranglers at Ontario Reign

Toyota Arena · Ontario, CA

Calgary Wranglers
1:2
Final / SO
Ontario Reign

The sheet

CGYONTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
33%67%
xG
1.82.5
High danger
23
Chances
45
Shots
2738

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ONT above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% ONT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal38
4Scoring chances5
2High-danger chances3
1.77Expected goals2.53

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–120–00–00.3–0.5
2nd8–171–20–10.3–1.0
3rd12–63–32–21.0–0.8
OT2–30–00–00.2–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Waltteri Ignatjew
Shots faced
38
Saves
37
Allowed
1
xGA
2.53
GSAx
+1.53
Pheonix Copley
Shots faced
27
Saves
26
Allowed
1
xGA
1.77
GSAx
+0.77

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 15:59Hunter Brzustewicz (1–0)low · 35 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 2nd 9:59Joe Hicketts (1–1)low · 36 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • 3rd 0:20Penalty
  • 3rd 2:04Penalty
  • 3rd 3:01Penalty
  • 3rd 10:53Penalty
  • 3rd 12:23Penalty
  • 3rd 15:21Penalty