AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, February 25

Grand Rapids Griffins at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Grand Rapids Griffins
6:4
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

GRTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
46%54%
xG
2.12.3
High danger
33
Chances
89
Shots
2127

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal27
8Scoring chances9
3High-danger chances3
2.14Expected goals2.27

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–63–40–20.7–0.9
2nd7–73–32–10.8–0.7
3rd5–142–21–00.6–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX212:09 of the 3rd7:513:17+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
2.26
GSAx
-1.74
Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
21
Saves
15
Allowed
6
xGA
2.14
GSAx
-3.86

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:22Penalty
  • 1st 4:36Penalty
  • 1st 7:31Amadeus Lombardi (1–0)low · 12 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 14:52Penalty
  • 1st 16:55Nate Danielson (2–0)low · 46 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 19:33Penalty
  • 2nd 6:44Penalty
  • 2nd 11:49Arttu Hyry (2–1)medium · 16 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 14:08Matěj Blümel (2–2)high · rebound · 33 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 15:50Penalty
  • 2nd 18:44Cross Hanas (3–2)high · 13 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 1:01Matěj Blümel (3–3)medium · 22 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 3rd 1:50Penalty
  • 3rd 1:50Penalty
  • 3rd 6:06Penalty
  • 3rd 6:31Joe Snively (4–3)5v4 · low · 54 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 8:57Brogan Rafferty (5–3)low · 39 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 10:11Penalty
  • 3rd 12:22Kyle McDonald (5–4)low · 25 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 3rd 19:49Carter Mazur (6–4)empty net · medium · 18 ft · beat Rémi Poirier