AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, February 26

Laval Rocket at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Laval Rocket
5:4
Final
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

LAVTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
62%38%
xG
4.13.6
High danger
119
Chances
1915
Shots
2634

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal34
19Scoring chances15
11High-danger chances9
4.08Expected goals3.58

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–132–82–40.5–1.7
2nd9–95–14–01.2–0.5
3rd14–1212–65–52.4–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TOR−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TOR38:16 of the 3rd11:4411:44+0.017 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
34
Saves
30
Allowed
4
xGA
3.58
GSAx
-0.42
Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
4.08
GSAx
-0.92

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:47Riley Kidney (1–0)high · 20 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 4:11Penalty
  • 1st 4:42Fraser Minten (1–1)5v4 · high · 15 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 10:06Penalty
  • 1st 10:06Penalty
  • 1st 15:51Penalty
  • 1st 17:22Nick Abruzzese (1–2)5v4 · medium · 16 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 18:07Alex Barré-Boulet (2–2)high · 15 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 19:37Penalty
  • 1st 19:37Penalty
  • 2nd 4:03Penalty
  • 2nd 13:02Penalty
  • 2nd 13:44Florian Xhekaj (3–2)4v5 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 0:47Sean Farrell (4–2)grade A · 8 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 3:27Penalty
  • 3rd 8:16Joshua Roy (5–2)medium · 16 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 10:53Penalty
  • 3rd 16:43Penalty
  • 3rd 18:33Joseph Blandisi (5–3)5v4 · high · 6 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 19:56Nick Abruzzese (5–4)medium · 29 ft · beat Cayden Primeau