AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, February 26

Manitoba Moose at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Manitoba Moose
3:2
Final / OT
Belleville Senators

The sheet

MBBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
22%78%
xG
2.43.2
High danger
14
Chances
411
Shots
3134

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal34
4Scoring chances11
1High-danger chances4
2.42Expected goals3.17

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–131–50–20.4–1.4
2nd12–141–50–20.7–1.4
3rd10–52–11–01.1–0.3
OT2–20–00–00.2–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Thomas Milic
Shots faced
34
Saves
32
Allowed
2
xGA
3.17
GSAx
+1.17
Malcolm Subban
Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
2.42
GSAx
-0.58

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:00Wyatt Bongiovanni (0–1)high · 24 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 1st 18:27Penalty
  • 1st 18:30Brad Lambert (1–1)5v4 · low · 53 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 2nd 2:52Penalty
  • 2nd 4:36Penalty
  • 2nd 11:45Penalty
  • 2nd 11:45Penalty
  • 2nd 11:45Penalty
  • 2nd 14:19Penalty
  • 2nd 18:09Penalty
  • 2nd 18:09Penalty
  • 2nd 19:24Garrett Pilon (1–2)5v4 · high · 33 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 3rd 0:51Penalty
  • 3rd 15:25Tyson Empey (2–2)grade A · rebound · 157 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • OT 4:46Dominic Toninato (3–2)low · 28 ft · beat Malcolm Subban