AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, February 26

Chicago Wolves at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

Chicago Wolves
4:6
Final
Iowa Wild

The sheet

CHIIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
32%68%
xG
3.44.9
High danger
611
Chances
1320
Shots
3131

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal31
13Scoring chances20
6High-danger chances11
3.44Expected goals4.95

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–152–82–40.6–2.1
2nd11–114–82–51.2–2.2
3rd15–57–42–21.6–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ruslan Khazheyev
Shots faced
31
Saves
25
Allowed
6
xGA
4.95
GSAx
-1.05
Jesper Wallstedt
Shots faced
31
Saves
27
Allowed
4
xGA
3.44
GSAx
-0.56

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:47Nick Swaney (1–0)low · 18 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 1st 1:21Penalty
  • 1st 1:27Hunter Haight (1–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 1st 1:54Brendan Gaunce (1–2)medium · 20 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 1st 4:17Penalty
  • 1st 8:58Penalty
  • 1st 9:08Skyler Brind’Amour (2–2)4v5 · high · 13 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 1st 11:54Travis Boyd (2–3)grade A · rebound · 24 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 1st 14:10Penalty
  • 1st 15:15Penalty
  • 2nd 9:49Penalty
  • 2nd 13:00Penalty
  • 2nd 14:47Michael Milne (2–4)5v4 · medium · 8 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 2nd 17:53Justin Robidas (3–4)medium · 16 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 18:11Penalty
  • 2nd 18:19Felix Unger Sörum (4–4)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 18:33Hunter Haight (4–5)grade A · 7 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 2nd 18:52Penalty
  • 2nd 18:52Penalty
  • 3rd 1:05Penalty
  • 3rd 1:05Penalty
  • 3rd 6:02Penalty
  • 3rd 10:46Penalty
  • 3rd 17:55Hunter Haight (4–6)empty net · low · 131 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev