AHLDashboard
Friday, February 28

Springfield Thunderbirds at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Springfield Thunderbirds
3:4
Final / SO
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

SPRHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
70%30%
xG
3.02.8
High danger
83
Chances
1310
Shots
2826

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal26
13Scoring chances10
8High-danger chances3
3.02Expected goals2.79

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6231100.60.2
2nd9643200.90.5
3rd131364521.61.5
OT0502010.00.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
28
Saves
25
Allowed
3
xGA
3.02
GSAx
+0.02
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
2.79
GSAx
-0.21

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:38Penalty
  • 1st 8:44Penalty
  • 2nd 6:17Penalty
  • 2nd 9:11Samuel Johannesson (1–0)medium · 17 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 11:07Penalty
  • 2nd 16:06Dylan Roobroeck (1–1)low · 42 ft · beat Colten Ellis
  • 2nd 16:59Penalty
  • 3rd 3:05Jaroslav Chmelar (1–2)low · 10 ft · beat Colten Ellis
  • 3rd 5:29Penalty
  • 3rd 6:31Matthew Peca (2–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 10:45Penalty
  • 3rd 13:05Hunter Skinner (3–2)low · 70 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 13:45Anton Blidh (3–3)medium · 12 ft · beat Colten Ellis