AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 28

Coachella Valley Firebirds at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds
6:5
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

CVSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
3.03.0
High danger
65
Chances
1312
Shots
2529

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal29
13Scoring chances12
6High-danger chances5
2.96Expected goals3.00

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–154–62–31.2–1.6
2nd8–54–31–00.9–0.5
3rd7–95–33–20.9–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD33:14 of the 3rd16:4616:39+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Philipp Grubauer
Shots faced
29
Saves
24
Allowed
5
xGA
3.00
GSAx
-2.00
Ville Husso
Shots faced
25
Saves
19
Allowed
6
xGA
2.96
GSAx
-3.04

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:02Jani Nyman (1–0)low · 31 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 1st 9:17Penalty
  • 1st 11:40Penalty
  • 1st 11:40Penalty
  • 1st 13:44Jan Myšák (1–1)medium · rebound · 23 ft · beat Philipp Grubauer
  • 1st 14:38Tucker Robertson (2–1)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 1st 16:35Ryan Carpenter (2–2)high · 13 ft · beat Philipp Grubauer
  • 1st 16:43Sasha Pastujov (2–3)high · 16 ft · beat Philipp Grubauer
  • 2nd 4:36Penalty
  • 2nd 4:36Penalty
  • 2nd 5:16Penalty
  • 2nd 7:16Daniel Sprong (3–3)5v4 · medium · 31 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 2nd 8:50John Hayden (4–3)5v4 · medium · 15 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 2nd 9:07Penalty
  • 2nd 10:34Logan Morrison (5–3)5v4 · medium · 26 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 2nd 14:32Penalty
  • 2nd 16:59Penalty
  • 3rd 2:14Penalty
  • 3rd 3:14Jani Nyman (6–3)5v4 · high · 31 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 4:02Penalty
  • 3rd 4:02Penalty
  • 3rd 12:02Nikita Nesterenko (6–4)medium · 14 ft · beat Philipp Grubauer
  • 3rd 17:14Nikita Nesterenko (6–5)grade A · 11 ft · beat Philipp Grubauer