AHLDashboard
Saturday, March 1

Manitoba Moose at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Manitoba Moose
1:2
Final / SO
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

MBTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
72%28%
xG
3.02.0
High danger
42
Chances
107
Shots
3127

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal27
10Scoring chances7
4High-danger chances2
3.05Expected goals1.95

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st91224211.01.0
2nd11551101.20.3
3rd8731110.70.4
OT3301000.20.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
31
Saves
30
Allowed
1
xGA
3.05
GSAx
+2.05
Shots faced
27
Saves
26
Allowed
1
xGA
1.95
GSAx
+0.95

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:07Penalty
  • 1st 8:50Penalty
  • 1st 12:14Mason Shaw (1–0)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 1st 13:53Ryan Tverberg (1–1)medium · 20 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 2nd 3:07Penalty
  • 2nd 6:34Penalty
  • 2nd 6:34Penalty
  • 2nd 6:34Penalty
  • 2nd 6:34Penalty
  • 2nd 8:10Penalty
  • 2nd 13:15Penalty
  • 2nd 13:21Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • OT 2:17Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty