AHLDashboard
Saturday, March 1

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
4:5
Final / OT
Hershey Bears

The sheet

WBSHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
20%80%
xG
1.73.7
High danger
36
Chances
717
Shots
1636

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

16Shots on goal36
7Scoring chances17
3High-danger chances6
1.72Expected goals3.71

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7834210.80.8
2nd51225020.41.1
3rd41528130.61.8
OT0100000.00.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
36
Saves
31
Allowed
5
xGA
3.71
GSAx
-1.29
Shots faced
16
Saves
12
Allowed
4
xGA
1.72
GSAx
-2.28

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties