AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 1

Belleville Senators at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Belleville Senators
1:4
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

BELLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
27%73%
xG
2.23.3
High danger
39
Chances
914
Shots
2628

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal28
9Scoring chances14
3High-danger chances9
2.25Expected goals3.31

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–114–70–50.8–1.6
2nd5–93–62–40.6–1.3
3rd10–82–11–00.9–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Leevi Meriläinen
Shots faced
28
Saves
24
Allowed
4
xGA
3.31
GSAx
-0.69
Connor Hughes
Shots faced
26
Saves
25
Allowed
1
xGA
2.25
GSAx
+1.25

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:02Penalty
  • 1st 14:01Penalty
  • 2nd 4:20Penalty
  • 2nd 4:20Penalty
  • 2nd 4:46Penalty
  • 2nd 5:38Penalty
  • 2nd 6:33Alex Barré-Boulet (0–1)5v4 · high · snap · 17 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 6:50Lucas Condotta (0–2)5v4 · high · tip · 8 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 15:49Penalty
  • 2nd 16:22Laurent Dauphin (0–3)5v4 · high · tip · 5 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 17:12Penalty
  • 2nd 17:12Jared Davidson (0–4)low · wrist · 33 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 18:08Penalty
  • 2nd 18:08Penalty
  • 2nd 18:08Penalty
  • 2nd 18:08Penalty
  • 2nd 19:36Penalty
  • 3rd 4:20Penalty
  • 3rd 19:56Jorian Donovan (1–4)low · wrist · 34 ft · beat Connor Hughes