AHLDashboard
Saturday, March 1

Springfield Thunderbirds at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Springfield Thunderbirds
4:3
Final / SO
Providence Bruins

The sheet

SPRPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
33%67%
xG
3.24.2
High danger
45
Chances
1215
Shots
3445

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal45
12Scoring chances15
4High-danger chances5
3.24Expected goals4.17

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st81023020.50.9
2nd61724220.61.5
3rd151778211.71.7
OT5110000.40.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
45
Saves
42
Allowed
3
xGA
4.17
GSAx
+1.17
Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
3.24
GSAx
+0.24

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 15:01Penalty
  • 1st 16:34Penalty
  • 1st 17:04Oliver Wahlstrom (0–1)5v4 · low · 50 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 19:02Penalty
  • 1st 19:02Riley Tufte (0–2)high · 9 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 19:47Dalibor Dvorský (1–2)5v4 · medium · 32 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 2nd 1:37Penalty
  • 2nd 2:07Matthew Peca (2–2)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 2nd 2:40Penalty
  • 2nd 2:40Penalty
  • 2nd 14:53Penalty
  • 3rd 0:22Riley Tufte (2–3)high · 10 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 14:38Penalty
  • 3rd 16:52Corey Andonovski (3–3)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Michael DiPietro