AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 1

Bridgeport Islanders at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Bridgeport Islanders
3:5
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

BRILVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
2.72.2
High danger
63
Chances
109
Shots
2722

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal22
10Scoring chances9
6High-danger chances3
2.74Expected goals2.15

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–71–10–10.3–0.4
2nd12–124–63–11.4–1.3
3rd10–35–23–11.0–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI34:51 of the 3rd15:0915:09+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cal Petersen
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
2.74
GSAx
-0.26
Tristan Lennox
Shots faced
22
Saves
17
Allowed
5
xGA
2.15
GSAx
-2.85

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:41Penalty
  • 1st 2:10Jacob Gaucher (0–1)4v5 · high · 20 ft · beat Tristan Lennox
  • 1st 14:35Louie Belpedio (0–2)low · 47 ft · beat Tristan Lennox
  • 1st 19:11Penalty
  • 2nd 1:18Olle Lycksell (0–3)medium · 13 ft · beat Tristan Lennox
  • 2nd 2:05Penalty
  • 2nd 4:24Matthew Maggio (1–3)medium · 31 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 10:41Penalty
  • 2nd 10:41Penalty
  • 2nd 13:23Penalty
  • 2nd 17:11Brian Pinho (2–3)grade A · rebound · 24 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 17:56Olle Lycksell (2–4)low · 25 ft · beat Tristan Lennox
  • 2nd 19:05Penalty
  • 2nd 19:05Penalty
  • 3rd 4:21Penalty
  • 3rd 4:51Anthony Richard (2–5)5v4 · low · 47 ft · beat Tristan Lennox
  • 3rd 11:57Penalty
  • 3rd 11:57Penalty
  • 3rd 11:57Penalty
  • 3rd 11:57Penalty
  • 3rd 13:42Penalty
  • 3rd 13:42Penalty
  • 3rd 16:11Penalty
  • 3rd 16:11Penalty
  • 3rd 16:11Penalty
  • 3rd 17:27Penalty
  • 3rd 18:00Brian Pinho (3–5)5v4 · high · 17 ft · beat Cal Petersen