AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 1

Bakersfield Condors at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Bakersfield Condors
5:4
Final / SO
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

BAKSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
2.92.9
High danger
33
Chances
811
Shots
3734

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineBAK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal34
8Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances3
2.92Expected goals2.91

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st16–44–12–01.4–0.2
2nd9–132–30–20.8–1.2
3rd11–152–71–10.6–1.3
OT1–20–00–00.1–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
37
Saves
33
Allowed
4
xGA
2.92
GSAx
-1.08
Olivier Rodrigue
Shots faced
34
Saves
30
Allowed
4
xGA
2.91
GSAx
-1.09

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:52Drake Caggiula (1–0)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 8:46Yegor Sidorov (1–1)low · 25 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 9:46Penalty
  • 2nd 11:24Penalty
  • 2nd 12:42Nikita Nesterenko (1–2)4v5 · high · 17 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 15:43Connor Carrick (2–2)low · 37 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 5:01Cameron Wright (3–2)low · 52 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 6:53Penalty
  • 3rd 8:20Justin Bailey (3–3)5v4 · medium · 15 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 3rd 10:52Drake Caggiula (4–3)high · 17 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 14:39Yegor Sidorov (4–4)medium · 25 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue